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Bucket List Disney Cruise – Second Impressions

August 31, 2022 by Lazy Man 1 Comment

Last week, I wrote about our first impressions of our bucket list Disney Cruise. Today, I have some second impressions. I’m almost back home to finish up on some fresh articles – I’m not turning Lazy Man and Money into a travel blog after 16 years (it’s barely old enough for its driving license.)

In the previous article, I noted that the vacation is about a thousand dollars a day for the four of us. My wife made the bookings for the cruise and flight, so I don’t have the exact numbers. To recap, we went on an 11-day cruise from Denmark through Norway, Iceland, Scotland, and ended in England. The sticker price was a little less than $8,000. When you add in flights, excursions, transport to and from the boat (it’s not cheap with all the luggage), taxes, tips, and travel insurance, it’s easy to see where it gets to $1,000 a day. It’s probably more, but we stayed an extra day in Denmark and a few in England at the end. Those cheaper days balanced it out.

There’s only one 11-day cruise in Norway available in 2023 right now, and it is $12,000. It goes to different countries, but it looks like prices might be 50% higher! This shifts my view of the value quite a bit. On the flip side, I looked at Royal Caribbean recently, and it’s much cheaper – especially with the promotions they are running. I saw some things that made me think Royal Caribbean would be a better fit. It seems like they segment the kids better, so my eight and 9-year olds wouldn’t be with the four and 5-year-old activities.

The only catch is that we might take a military rate cruise if it comes to NY (close enough of a drive from RI) and goes to the Bahamas. The timing has to be right with the discounts and kids’ school, so who knows if that will work out.

Here are some second impressions that didn’t make my original article last week:

General Second Impressions

Clean Rooms
The staff cleaned the room twice a day. It always looked fabulous! The kids and I are a mess. My wife is neater, but four people living in a tiny stateroom is a difficult challenge.
Excellent Food
I almost ate Prime Rib twice a day for the entire trip. There were a ton of other options too. The kids said the buffet was their second favorite restaurant anywhere they’ve been. My wife said it was the best lunch she’s ever had.
Clean Ship
For a ship that is 25 years old, it is in fantastic shape. Everything looks brand new and shiny. There are workers scrubbing the banisters all the time. My wife thinks they deep clean the carpets every night because she’s seen some wet spots. They seem to do most of the cleaning at port – I’d only seen one carpet cleaner.
“Free” Show
There was a show on board each night of the trip. The performances were about an hour long but were very well done. A couple of broadway musical-type shows were based on Tangled or an original sequel to Cinderella. The sequel to Cinderella, Twice Charmed, imaged that the evil stepmother and step sisters had an evil godfather who could turn back time and undo Cinderella. Like The Little Mermaid, there’s a price to pay in working with evil, though.
I like the ventriloquist, Paul Zerdin, and the juggler, Pete Matthews the best, though. Paul Zerdin won America’s Got Talent, and the kids loved the show, so it meant a lot to them. Pete Matthews not only did a show, but he had a juggling workshop where he taught a crowd of about 80 people how to juggle at once. My brother taught me years ago so I could help my kids a little. There weren’t enough juggling balls for everyone, so we had to make do with balled-up socks, but they didn’t have enough weight.
It probably costs $200 for a family of four for a show, so the included shows gave us some extra value for our money.
Family Atmosphere
My wife mentioned that she loved that almost everyone was a family. There weren’t many early 20s young adults looking to hook up as you might find on other cruises. I’m not bothered by that much, but it is worth noting if that’s important to you.
On the flip side, she felt that some older teens were dragged along with the family, and there wasn’t enough for them to do. I guess they disrupted karaoke one night, but I was already asleep and missed it.

Excursions

With excursions, you get what you pay for. We went to the Blue Lagoon in Iceland, which was terrific. Sometimes we just stayed in the city and did whatever was there. That was a great way to save money if we didn’t have anything on our “must-see” list. We went to Magic Ice in Reykjavik, Iceland, a bar made entirely of ice – ice floors, ice walls, you name it. It was a unique experience. Of course, the kids just loved doing anything that was off-the-wall silly. They enjoyed their mocktails, and we got pictures of them in ice thrones and Viking ships.

We also went to see the Loch Ness Monster. I didn’t know that history, so I learned a lot. I’ve a lot to say about that, perhaps enough for a separate blog post.

Finally, when we disembarked the ship, we went on the Harry Potter tour at Warner Brother Studios. It not only got us on time but also got us and our luggage to London for the rest of our trip. My wife worked it out from a link someone on the ship sent her. It was as easy as clicking and booking, which was perfect for her.

Surprises

This shouldn’t have been a surprise. Probably 99% of you will laugh at me. I hadn’t realized that it was going to be so cold in Iceland. I had always been told that it was switched, and Greenland is cold and Iceland is fine. That’s true, but it’s still 50 degrees in the peak of summer. That’s warm for the arctic circle, but I had expected to use the pools and waterslides on the ship. I was excited about those days at sea as I expected them to be relaxing in the summer sun. Instead, I was looking for a place to read a book indoors with a window to the outside. Those were in short supply. Some say we should have splurged, so we didn’t have an interior cabin, but those were 50% more.

This was a case where I was too busy to do any thinking or research.

What Could Be Better

In the previous article, I pointed out several cons, and it was a little negative. Here I’ll just add one more:

Terrible Coffee
I don’t drink coffee, so this one’s from my wife. She is usually fine with anything resembling coffee. This was the worst she’s had. It reminded me of something my mother said when we were in Europe twenty years ago. She complained that the coffee was weak. Maybe it’s a Europe thing.
My wife came up with a solution. She found some instant coffee at a grocery store at a port. She’d add some of that to the coffee on the ship, and it seemed to be much better. Before coming up with that, she’d buy cappuccinos at the coffee shop.

Environmental Aside

There’s no real good place in the article to talk about the environmental consequences of cruise ships. There are a lot of people against cruise ships. I get it. I consider myself environmentally conscious. Since this blog started, I’ve been blogging about better environmental choices and solar panels.

However, I did a little deep thinking, and I think the problem may be travel in general. Airplane travel to 5 different countries, and all the stops (other parts of Iceland) create a lot of carbon emissions. Are cruises inherently that much worse? I would have to see a comparison. It also is worth noting that we stopped using air conditioning at our home. Climate control of the interior stateroom must be much more efficient than in our home. We stopped using almost all the energy at home, for that matter, and we aren’t driving anywhere. There are about two thousand people like us.

I’m not going to say that cruises are environmentally friendly – far from it. However, when you consider that other travel is not ecologically friendly either and a significant number of people would be using energy anyway, maybe it’s not so bad?

For further reading, I found some analysis of carbon emissions of cruise ships vs. flying, but I think some of the analysis is lacking. It doesn’t make sense to compare the pollution per passenger mile traveled. A plane can travel our whole 11-day journey in a day. Try keeping that plane in the air traveling for eleven days, and putting a broadway musical on board. The more I think about it, the more difficult it is to compare the two.

Final Thoughts

It’s great to have someone clean your “house” twice a day. Sign me up for that when I’m rich. It’s also good not to have to worry about food. No shopping, no planning, no cooking, no kids fussing – well, they fussed a little bit when they weren’t at the buffet.

I love the idea of being able to see different countries and not having to unpack and figure out the logistics of the local travel systems. In the future, I think we’ll look at Carnival or Royal Caribbean because Disney simply isn’t very FI friendly.

Seven Ways To Teach Your Kids About Money

May 11, 2022 by Lazy Man 4 Comments

The following comes from Kid Wealth. If you enjoy this article, you’ll find more detail on each item at: How To Teach Your Kids About Money.

I am passionate about several things, but two of them are teaching kids and money. Teaching kids comes with the territory of being a stay-at-home dad. I couldn’t have gotten through 15 years of money blogging if I found financial literacy a chore.

There are so many ways to teach kids about money… perhaps too many. I started outlining this article and found more and more ways to teach valuable money lessons. It’s easy to go overboard, remember that young children need to just be children. Money management should be near the bottom of their priority list. That’s why many of the suggestions below focus on things that kids find fun.

1. Teach your kids about money without even trying

Whether you like it or not, your kids are watching you all the time. They see a lot of the everyday ways that you use money. I know my frugal and investing habits came from my mother. As a young child, I remember rare triple coupon shopping at the grocery store. As a teen, I would also read the copy of Kiplinger’s Personal Finance magazine that came to the house. That was a good way to learn about financial topics such as corporate earnings and interest rates.

Consider giving your kids an allowance. They’ll create strong money habits if they are allowed to occasionally purchase their own toys. One of the core ideas is to have a “give, save, spend” piggy bank, such as this one. It’s a fun way for them to sort where all their pennies should go.

2. Teach your kids about money with books

There are two main ways to teach kids about money with books, give them one or read one yourself. I recommend doing both.

The best book to give a kid to teach them about money was written in 1989. It’s If You Made a Million. It’s written for kids and introduces them to coins, saving, spending, investing, compound interest, mortgages, and even financial independence. It does it with excellent illustrations. I wrote a review of If You Made a Million here.

Younger kids, in preschool, should read this M is for Money review.

Finally, if you are looking for a book to help you teach your kids about money, get Make Your Kid A Money Genius (Even If You’re Not): A Parents’ Guide for Kids 3 to 23 by Beth Kobliner. It’s a great read from cover to cover. What I love about this book is that it covers teenagers and young adults. Older kids benefit from financial lessons too.

3. Teach your kids about money with podcasts

I have to be honest, I’m not a podcast person. I think it’s because I can’t listen to one thing and write about another at the same time. I’ve found two very good money podcasts for children.

1. Kids, Money, and More

This is mostly for very young kids, such as kindergartners. It covers the basics of how to save, being mindful about your spending, and giving. Anisa Kurji and her two sons take you through a money journey in about 10 minutes (or less). It’s perfect for the ride to school. There are only about 10 episodes, but that might be enough to mix in to change the routine every couple of weeks.

2. Million Bazillion

This podcast tackles interesting questions like why we need money and how it came about. Most of the episodes tackle one question. Each episode is about 22 minutes long, so you could plan for this on long car rides. This is a good speed for my 9-year-old.

It’s sponsored by Greenlight, which is a debit card for kids. I haven’t heard too much about it, so if you have experience with that, let me know in the comments below.

3. NPR’s Planet Money Summer School

There are two seasons of Planet Money Summer school that are perfect for teaching teens about money. Season one is about macroeconomics. Season two covers the basics of investing.

4. Teach your kids about money with television

I know, kids watch too much television these days. It’s good to have limits. However, if they are going to watch television anyway, you can use it to advance their financial education. There are two shows that I think you should focus on.

Teen Titans Go!

That link goes to a list of about a half-dozen episodes that I have reviewed that focus on personal finance. There are more than 325 episodes of Teen Titans Go! so it’s usually not about personal finance. However, there’s an episode about building wealth with rental properties. That covers the importance of good credit history and credit score. Another episode teaches the value of money with a weird analogy of bees being the currency.

Warren Buffett’s Secret Millionaire Club

Did you know that Warren Buffett’s entrepreneurial lessons are available as a cartoon for kids? Yep. You can watch over twenty episodes of his group of young teens learn money lessons. It’s free to stream, with no subscription service to buy. Usually, I mix this in as a treat on days that I’ve had to homeschool as a break.

Looking for more ideas? See Teach Your Kids About Money with Television.

5. Teach your kids about money with board games

Every reader has to be familiar with Monopoly, so I won’t waste words covering it. You are also probably familiar with the game of Life. It wasn’t until playing that with my kids recently that I realized it can teach the importance of having a high-earning career at an early age. Perhaps the best of the mainstream money games is Pay Day.

The best board game to teach your kids about money is The Allowance Game. You earn money for doing things like mowing the lawn, but you can lose money if you break a window. Like all the other board games you use play money which is good for learning math concepts like addition and subtraction. This one adds coins to the mix which is great for learning decimals.

6. Teach your kids about money with online courses

When COVID-19 hit, parents and kids turned to online learning. It wasn’t as good as being in the classroom, but many kids now have improved computer skills. That makes online courses for teaching kids about money a perfect fit.

MoneyTime – Financial Literacy for Kids

Earlier this year, I reviewed MoneyTime at the link above. It’s designed for kids ages 10 to 14, but my 8-year-old battled through a couple of lessons and it went okay. Unless you’re an evil parent with a personal finance website, I would stick with the recommended ages. If I were to build a personal finance curriculum for kids MoneyTime would be a core component.

Choose FI Foundation

The Choose FI Foundation has another money course for kids designed for kids in the 3rd to 5th grade. I haven’t gotten the opportunity to review this yet, but I have a 3rd grader now, so hopefully, we get a chance over one of the school vacations this year.

Both of these courses cover important topics like the danger of credit cards and bad debt.

7. Teach your kids about money with video games

One of my earliest memories of learning about money comes from the classic video game Lemonade Stand. There are ad-supported free versions online and versions in your mobile app store of choice. It’s a great way to learn about supply and demand, but it will probably get old after a few hours.

If you are looking for a 2021 version of Lemonade Stand, I suggest Pizza Company by Osmo. Osmo makes video games come alive in the real world. You set the tablet in a stand and a mirror redirects the camera in front of the tablet. Kids build things in front of the tablet and the Osmo game interprets it on the screen. It sounds complicated but it’s so easy a 4-year-old can get it. The Pizza Company game is better for kids age 7 or 8 though. If you are curious about the Osmo learning system, I wrote a review here

When I was in high school my graphic calculator had a game called Dope Wars (it also goes by Drug Wars). Due to the content (i.e. illegal drug trafficking), it’s best for older kids. Essentially the game taught you how to buy low and sell high. Wired has a history of the game which is 40 years old this year. You can get a version on the Google Play store here.

Looking for more? Kimberly Palmer from NerdWallet covers four money conversations to have with your kids which come up from playing Minecraft and Roblox. My kids love these games, but I don’t understand them.

Final Thoughts on Teaching Kids about Money

Research shows that kids develop their money behavior from a young age. Unfortunately, financial literacy is not taught in many schools. That leaves it up to parents to fill in the gap. With the above resources, you can mix and match the education necessary to build a foundation for a great financial future.

Lazy Man Goal Update (August 2021)

August 25, 2021 by Lazy Man 6 Comments

My plan this year was to do eight updates of my goals, spaced out every 6 weeks. I thought that doing it more often would keep me focused on the long-term plans instead of getting lost in the daily routine. The last update was in April – I’ve missed two updates and I’m a week late with this one. It’s been a struggle.

I have been keeping up with my passive income reports which includes a little slice of our lives (pictures and things we did) over the last month. I add that personal stuff in for the voyeurs out there, because the math can be boring. This goal update is a mix between the two, some money and professional as well as family goals.

For 2021, I made some goals to start the year like I do every year. However, year after year, I fail to make any consistent progress on my goals. I know I always plan to do too much. I also fail to review my progress and make corrections.

With the failure to review progress and make corrections for four months now, let’s see how it’s going:

August 2021 Goal Update

Before we get started here’s my spreadsheet. It’ll be helpful to follow along. If you have ideas on how this system could be better I’d love to hear them in the comments.

I don’t think I made very good goals this year. They are all over the place. Some of them are boolean (we either went to Europe or we didn’t). Some of them are based on numbers and others are based on percentages. If I can take a “win” out of these goals, it’s that many, many people were screaming, “Don’t make goals for 2021!” When the year started we didn’t know when we’d be eligible for vaccines or if there would be enough of them. At the time, Delta sounded like more of a college sorority than something that would threaten to spin us back to square one.

Money Goals

Make $60,000 – I’ve made $48,266.97 so far and I’m on pace for almost $75,000. In April, I declared this an impossibility since my dog sitting income was close to zero due to COVID. However, vaccines, summer travel, and pandemic dogs have been amazing! I’ve been hustling and my wife calls me the Walter White of dog sitting (not sure if this is a good thing). Anyway, the dog-sitting income will probably drop down for the rest of the year. There’s always a seasonal drop-off when the kids go back to school, but add in the Delta variant and the dog sitting income will start trending down.

Wife Retirement Savings – My wife’s retirement fund is $15,000 bigger this year, but we are still a little behind what I had hoped on this one. We’ve had a few months where we spent more money than we usually do. The travel section below covers most of it.

Business Goals

Content Audit/Article Refresh – I’ve completed 8 of the 40 articles that I hope for this year. I have a lot of articles from around 2006 and 2007 that are very short, filled with a dozen of spelling/grammatical errors, and not very well put together. I haven’t been able to keep up with this over the last four months. The scheduling of 40-50 dogs a month is a full-time job. It’s not so much the dogs as it managing the owners. This goal will most likely get pushed to whatever seasonal downtime we have coming up.

7,000 Twitter Followers – I manage to lose a few Twitter followers every update. I’m going to need some tips or something. It may help to have some big media coverage.

Minor Website Design – I made no progress on this one. I think the only way to move forward on this one is to put on a short-term to-do list, rather than this mid-long term one. Unfortunately, that short-term list is full right now.

Article for New Website – Five. I’ve gotten a couple more articles written for the new website I’m planning. This is not great progress. As with the content audit above, I’ll have to put more of my time towards blogging instead of dog sitting.

Personal

Lose Weight – I’ve lost 4 pounds of the 15 that is part of my goal. I’ve made some gains this year and then lost them while traveling and getting out of my routine. This is a long-term average throughout the year as measured by my Fitbit scale. It’s great to see the line moving in the right direction even if I had hoped to have more progress.

Bucket List/Dream Board – I’m still where I was in April with this one. That’s about 65% done with creating something. As for the 35% that I have left with this, I want to create a dream board to make it more visual. When these things sit in a spreadsheet on a hard drive, they just don’t get done. As far as checking off items on the Bucket List, my wife booked tickets for our flight to D.C. in November. There’s a military dinner where it is tradition to meet the Vice President and there’s a rumor that the President himself may be there this year.

Professional Skills – 20% done. I had made a list of blogging professional skills, but I’ve accomplished none of them. However, I’ve certainly made great progress when it comes to my dog relationship skills. I’m going to count it. I’m also better at working with people, which is a skill that has atrophied a lot when I transitioned to blogging.

Family

Travel to Europe – Nope. My wife had big plans to do a Greek cruise this summer. That wasn’t realistic, so she pivoted and came up with the idea of our Hawaii trip in April. We were able to get tested and fly over many states that would have forced us to quarantine. We had a great time. In June we went to Block Island, which is a local staycation. Rooms are expensive, but it’s great to get away from technology and hike around in nature. In July, just before Delta got bad, we went to Hershey Park and the Cartoon Network Hotel (it’s a motel) in Lancaster, PA. With Delta as bad as it is now and knowing that even though I’m vaccinated, I can get my kids sick, I treasure these trips more.

Remember above when I explained that we didn’t make as much progress on saving my wife’s retirement goals? This was one of the main reasons why. We have no regrets – in fact, my wife planned all these trips and the spending that went along with them.

Finish the Basement – We’ve got half of our basement cleared out as of a few days ago. We just need to make a call and get the contractors scheduled. We got pricing several months ago, but we got busy and didn’t have the basement where it needs to be. We’re there now, so hopefully, they can get started. The plan, for now, is to do half the basement and see how that room serves us. The other half is being used for storage for now.

Parenting

YouTube Channel – I bought a green screen. That’s all the progress I’ve made on this. I think I just need to point the camera and get the kids posting content no matter how unprofessional it is. It’s not like we have a plan to make millions. I’m just hoping they get some experience and we get a few laughs along the way.

Drone Flying – We went drone flying once since the last report. My youngest (7-year-old) got to be quite good with it. The drone they are using is about $25, so it lacks features that help with flying. I have a $75 drone that I got on an Amazon Prime Day that we can upgrade too soon. If they can fly these terrible drones well, they should be great with the expensive ones, right?

Outdoor stuff (hours) – I originally had 40 hours outside as a very minimum goal because the kids rarely do much outside. However, when we were in Hawaii we were outside almost all the time. This summer the kids have had camps (see below). The weekends have been tougher to get out because of the dog sitting, but we still managed to get some activities in. I got my first surfing lesson in. It didn’t go great, so I’ll have to practice a lot more, but it was a lot more physical work than I thought.

Computer Programming – In April the kids were reading Captain Underpants and making comic books and I thought this was a good enough learning activity. In the last week, the kids have had some time off of camps, so I got them started on Tynker.com’s computer programming courses. In one of the camps, one of the kids had some computer programming with Lego WeDo. If that’s all we get done this year, I’ll consider this completed.

Specialty Camps – We missed out on some camps because we were preparing to go to Hawaii (and going to Hawaii) and my wife deployed soon after. However, we got a couple of building camps, art camps, and cooking camps. This covers most of their special interests. My 8-year-old was the youngest in the cooking class and he loved being with all the older kids. Next year, my 7-year-old will be old enough to do cooking class too. It’s expensive, but it’s a good skill to learn, right?

Final Thoughts

Back in April, I wrote: “Overall, I’m not feeling like I’ve made much progress, but there are pockets of progress. Unfortunately, the next update probably won’t have more progress. My wife is deployed getting the vaccine in peoples’ arms, so I’m trying to make this time extra fun for the kids.”

The progress was so bad before that I couldn’t put out an update. However, as you can see, things have turned around significantly. I should be able to make (or come close) to everything but the blogging goals this year. Even those have a chance in the next few months. Whatever gaps I have in those business goals should be filled by the ones I’ve added with the dog sitting skills.

Doubling the Kids’ Money with Robinhood

June 3, 2021 by Lazy Man 2 Comments

This is going to be another short article today. I am still swamped with dog sitting business. I love that so many people are getting vaccinated and traveling. I also love that almost everyone decided to get a dog in the last year and a half. The only downside is that I’m constantly doing meet and greets, and booking appointments. I had two meet and greets yesterday and during one, I had an emergency last-minute request from someone who needed to travel for work, but their dog regular sitter was on vacation.

After more than a year of very few dogs to sit it is an overwhelming, but a welcome change.

In any case, I didn’t intend to write about dog sitting today. We can save that for the May financial update that should come out early next week. Instead, I want to talk about investing your kids’ money.

I started an investment account with Robinhood when the kids were 2-3 year old. In July that will be exactly 5 years ago. It’s a perfect time to look back and see how that decision went.

I don’t like to invest other people’s money. There’s just too much risk if it doesn’t work out. Fortunately, a 2 and 3 year old weren’t going to feel too much one way or the other.

I could waste a lot of words to build suspence before giving you the results, but I wasted that opportunity in the article’s title. Here’s how they’ve done:

For full disclosure, the results include a little free stock from Robinhood from referring friends (and website visitors). If you sign up here, you’ll help make a couple of kids very happy as they’ll get some free stock… and you will too.

No worries if you don’t sign up, because they are already very happy with the growth of their money. They are starting to figure out how money works, but grasped the idea that twice as much money is better a while back.

I should be open and say that there’s no guarantees that you’ll double your money when you invest via the Robinhood brokerage. The brokerage doesn’t make your money double, the investment choices do. The rule of 72 would indicate that they’ve made 14.5% interest per year. My kids have been lucky with that great bull market and I expect things will slow down in the future.

They’ve been mostly in the US total market (via Vanguard’s VTI ETF), but sometimes I buy some fun stuff for them like a gaming conference company or a little Dogecoin. That’s the advantage of having free trades with Robinhood. Five years ago, brokerages offering free trades were rare, but they are more common now.

The other thing I should note is that Robinhood doesn’t have custodial accounts for kids. I had to put the account in my name and I’ll have to pay taxes on it when it’s sold and distributed to the kids. Hopefully, since they are long-term capital gains, they won’t be so bad. Since having separate accounts was difficult, I simply added the same money from each kid whenever I do a cash deposit. This way they’ll each own 50% of the account.

The Psychology of Love and Money

July 9, 2013 by Lazy Man 2 Comments

A little while ago, I got an email from a Dr. Daniel Crosby who works at IncBlot Organizational Psychology (seems like he runs the company, I couldn’t tell for sure). How long was a little while ago? I remember when I got it, because it was the day my son was born. Little Man is over 9 months old now. I am a heel and should have covered this before now.

The email caught my attention. I get a little bit of a kick when a doctor sends me an email that starts with “Hey Lazy…” (I know I brought that on myself.) I get a lot of requests from people to highlight whatever it is they are working on with my readers. I’d say that over 99% of it is junk or nothing very special. However, Dr. Crosby’s work was different. It was a TEDx talk. If you aren’t familiar with TED, I don’t know how you found my website. However, Wikipedia gives a good introduction. I’d describe as a bunch of brilliant people imparting their best wisdom on the world… and you get to watch it free!

I hesitated to embed the video here just because it’s over 18 minutes long. I understand your time is valuable. I found this more entertaining and informative than almost everything on television today. In case you didn’t get it from the title of the article, the video is about the psychology of money. As you might guess, people don’t always act rationally to money. (If they did, this video would be very boring.) The video covers some of the irrational ways we act. I don’t know if there are official terms for psychological phenomena that Dr. Crosby talks about, but I’ll cover a few after the video:

The talk focuses on four specific psychological pheneomena, but I’ll outline the whole thing here to make it easy for you. One of the great things about the talk that I overlooked the first time (I was focused on the money) is that he compares the irrational behavior that people have with love with money.

I Can Change Them
- We Feel We Can Change Lotto Odds – In love, people often have a bias towards fixing someone (for lack of a better term). We feel we can change them. When it comes to money, we are the same way. In a $100 lottery with 50 tickets people are willing to pay nearly $2.00 for a ticket that is choosen for them (as you might expect). However, if they are given the chance to choose the ticket, they’ll pay almost $9. We think we can change the odds. (I asked Crosby for a citation of this and he said believed it was from Langer 1974 in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology.)
- We Over-Invest in What We Know – We think our experience with the company or product is going to lift the stock price. He cites the Facebook IPO and how Facebook warned us about the financial problems with the company.
- We Invest in companies we work for… even when we don’t significantly matter to that company’s success. The example cited is the person who works for Coke and invests in the company. You aren’t likely to change Coke unless you are meeting with the C-level executives on a fairly regular basis.
This Time It’s Different – The example here is that Liz Taylor believed this each of the numerous times she got married. In terms of money, the phenomena is called New Era Thinking. He cites the tulip bubble in the Netherlands in the 1630s where people would pay 10x the yearly pay of a skilled guilder for a single tulip bulb. Dr. Crosby says that it’s easy to dismiss this kind of thing as antiquated thinking, but it comes up recently with the tech bubble and he cites eToys when it was valued more than Toys R Us when it very little sales and no profit.
Prince Charming Bias – A high-impact, low-probability event will come sweep us off our feet and make all our romantic or financial problems disappear. He points out the stories of Cinderella, Snow White, and Sleeping Beauty. Only Sleeping Beauty’s Prince has a real name. It’s not important to the story for the other princes to have names, we know what they stand for which is what matters. Dr. Crosby compares this to the lottery. The people who play the lottery are the ones who typically can least afford to. Those with masters and Ph. D. are the least likely to play. He cites that you are 9 times more likely to be crushed by your television than to win the lottery, but you’d never bet on such a thing. If you do win the lottery, be careful what you wish for, because there is a good chance that you’ll gain weight, not be happier, and broke in five years.
Just Can’t Quit You Bias – Breaking up with a partner is terrible (this isn’t exactly news). We have same problem with money. The gambler can’t quit the table, because he can’t stand being a loser. A person buying a stock that loses money tends to ride on it to the bottom, because they can’t stand a sure loss.

I had a few thoughts while listening to this presentation. When Dr. Crosby was talking about Facebook, I recall that I bought some at $26 and some more at $19 because I realize that a number of people have a “Can’t Quite You Bias” with the company. (At those prices, I found the valuation fair. I sold off most of my ownership at $33 at locked in some gains.) His response was that at some price Facebook makes sense, just not $38. (I agree.)

I also thought that the eToys vs. Toys R Us was an interesting comparison. What if it was Amazon vs. Barnes and Noble? Ebay vs. Sotheby’s? His response was that eToys had a lot more vapor surrounding it. I remember Amazon being referred to for years as Amazon.org, because they never made a profit. He agreed that breakthrough companies do indeed change the game. The problem is figuring out what these are. Seems like Netflix has been up and down that roller coaster a number of times.

In the end, these biases are certainly worth acknowledging. It reminds me a lot of the article I wrote about why people buy into MLM health products that appear to be nothing more than snake oil.